| MAKES PLAYOFF | WINS NAT’L TITLE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | CONFERENCE | PROB | CHANGE | PROB | CHANGE |
| Alabama | SEC | 90% | -1 | 36% | -2 |
| Clemson | ACC | 78 | +8 | 16 | +3 |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 60 | +5 | 19 | +2 |
| Michigan | Big Ten | 37 | +1 | 12 | — |
| Washington | Pac-12 | 36 | +3 | 7 | +2 |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten | 30 | +6 | 3 | +1 |
| Oklahoma | Big 12 | 28 | +14 | 4 | +2 |
| Colorado | Pac-12 | 16 | +6 | 2 | +2 |
| Penn State | Big Ten | 15 | +6 | <1 | — |
| Okla. State | Big 12 | 7 | +4 | <1 | — |
| USC | Pac-12 | 2 | -1 | <1 | — |
| Florida | SEC | <1 | — | <1 | — |
| Auburn | SEC | <1 | — | <1 | — |
| Nebraska | Big Ten | <1 | — | <1 | — |
| W. Michigan | MAC | <1 | — | <1 | — |
| Tennessee | SEC | <1 | — | <1 | — |
| Utah | Pac-12 | <1 | -2 | <1 | — |
| Wash. State | Pac-12 | <1 | -4 | <1 | — |
| W. Virginia | Big 12 | <1 | -6 | <1 | — |
| Louisville | ACC | <1 | -40 | <1 | -9 |
With either Michigan or Ohio State practically certain to drop out of the CFP running after a loss Saturday, the main question coming out of the week, assuming all the top favorites win, will be who — whether it be Washington or Wisconsin, or perhaps even Oklahoma, Penn State or Colorado — emerges as the most likely candidate to join Alabama, Clemson and the Ohio State/Michigan winner among the top four going into conference championship weekend.
And if any of the favorites lose? Then everyone’s favorite feature of late-season college football — pure chaos — will win the weekend.