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Interpreting yesterday’s election

Voters cast their ballots at the Herbert Young Community Center polling place in Cary, N.C.. on Thursday, Oct. 18, 2012, the first day of early voting in North Carolina. (AP Photo/The News & Observer, Shawn Rocco)

Photo: Are Democrats out of sync with voters?

Once again, liberals across America are shell-shocked by the outcome of a midterm election. From The Atlantic (click here for story):

“In Tuesday’s elections, voters rejected recreational marijuana, transgender rights, and illegal-immigrant sanctuaries; they reacted equivocally to gun-control arguments; and they handed a surprise victory to a Republican gubernatorial candidate who emphasized his opposition to gay marriage.

“Democrats have become increasingly assertive in taking liberal social positions in recent years, believing that they enjoy majority support …. But Tuesday’s results … suggest that the left has misread the electorate’s enthusiasm for social change, inviting a backlash from mainstream voters invested in the status quo. Consider these results:

    • Voters in Houston—a strongly Democratic city—rejected by a 20-point margin a nondiscrimination ordinance that opponents said would lead to ‘men in women’s bathrooms.’
    • The San Francisco sheriff who had defended the city’s sanctuary policy after a sensational murder by an illegal immigrant was voted out.
    • Two Republican state senate candidates in Virginia were targeted by … former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg’s gun-control group. One won and one lost, leaving the chamber in GOP hands.
    • Matt Bevin, the Republican gubernatorial nominee in Kentucky, pulled out a resounding victory that defied the polls after emphasizing social issues and championing Kim Davis, the county clerk who went to jail rather than issue same-sex marriage licenses. Bevin told the Washington Post on the eve of the vote that he’d initially planned to stress economic issues, but found that ‘this is what moves people.’

“There were particular factors in all of these races: The San Francisco sheriff was scandal-ridden, for example, and the Ohio initiative’s unique provisions divided pro-pot activists. But taken together these results ought to inspire caution among liberals who believe their cultural views are widely shared and a recipe for electoral victory. …

“To be sure, Tuesday was an off-off-year election with dismally low voter turnout, waged in just a handful of locales. But liberals who cite this as an explanation often fail to take the next step and ask why the most consistent voters are consistently hostile to their views, or why liberal social positions don’t mobilize infrequent voters.

“Low turnout alone can’t explain the extent of Democratic failures in non-presidential elections in the Obama era, which have decimated the party in state legislatures, governorships, and the House and Senate. … Democrats want to believe Americans are on board with their vision of social change—but they might win more elections if they meet voters where they really are.”


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