Reposted from Daily Kos Electionsby Steve SingiserRasmussen’s status as an infallible pollster to the right, and a inevitable source of derision to the left, has been well established for years. But, looking at some of their recent polling (most notably, their daily tracking poll of the presidential race), it becomes difficult not to ask some serious questions about their data. When you are on an island as often as they have been lately, they are either prescient, or completely full of shit.
And while we have to wait till November to find out which one of those polar-opposite descriptions match the House of Ras, it is worth exploring today how far on the island they are, in a number of races.
Before that, though, the numbers:
PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking):Romney d. Obama (46-45)NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (50-43)
OREGON (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (47-43)
WISCONSIN (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (49-45)
DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
WA-GOV (SurveyUSA):Rob McKenna (R) 40, Jay Inslee (D) 38WI-SEN (Rasmussen): Tommy Thompson (R) 50, Tammy Baldwin (D) 38; Mark Neumann (R) 44, Baldwin 42; Baldwin 45, Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 41
A few thoughts, as always, await you after the jump …