Nobody knows, people can only guess. Peter Zeihan isn’t convinced in the video above. Nor is Prof. Alan Lichtman in the video below, and he correctly called the last 10 popular votes. What about polls? They predicted Hillary Clinton would win in 2016, and a 2022 “red wave” that didn’t materialize. Early omens: A string of Democratic special election victories, a big fundraising gap (story here), Trump’s smaller crowds, GOP primary votes for withdrawn candidates, and GOP senators in red strongholds Texas and Florida apparently in close races (stories here and here). Biden isn’t popular, but where do you see enthusiasm for Republicans?