What Will Trump Do?
John W. Ladenburg Sr. with my replies in blue
Trump won the election and the Republicans control both Houses and also about ¾ of the States. Now we can expect the policies they have championed to be put in place. Those may well look like this:
1) Re-stacking the Supreme Court with corporate conservative religious jurists who will overturn Roe v. Wade. The Court will be super-conservative for at least 25 years. Many red states will again outlaw all abortions.
Not sure. We do not know how crazy Trump is. I would bet on a Roberts type.
2) Repeal of Obamacare throwing up to 20 million people off heath care.
Can’t happen. Reps want to keep the House in 2008. They will engineer some sort of program.
3) A National right to work law, eliminating all unions and wage increases.
I am not sure this is constitutional. I think it is blocked,
4) A National minimum wage that outlaws State minimum wage laws.
I am not sure this is constitutional. I think it is blocked,
5) A National gun act that eliminates State gun laws like the one just passed here.
Again I think it is not possible, states rights.’
6) A huge increase in deportations including those brought here as small children many years ago.
Possible. Not sure how it would be paid for. I suspect othert ideas, more like strict rreuirments for employers resulting in self deportation.
7) A ban on Muslims entering the country with an immigration and visa ban on all middle east nations including our allies.
No way. The Saudis wold defund his hotels. More likely focused in the Syrians and Afghanis.
8) A lowering of the corporate tax rate even none pay our current rate, but this will be a tax shift down to the middle class and below.
Hard to see. He has never put together working budget. There will be corporate tax reform. Also maybe an incentive for repatriation.
9) Trump can immediately fill over 135 empty local Federal judge seats, turning the local Federal Courts extremely conservative for decades.
All too true.
10) A re-structure of our foreign policy with a tilt toward Russia and away from Britain, France, Germany and Canada.
This is a big issue. Could be.
11) A cancellation of the trade agreement with Canada and Mexico, possibly a trade war with them. Cancellation of the trade agreements with Europe.
Nope, will be finessed. Businesses would go beserk.
12) Withdrawal of support for NATO, leading eastern bloc nations to tilt back to Russia
Nope, will be finessed, but he may get more money out of the sponge of Europe’s coffers. Watch for a German/French army.
13) Trade war with China
Very possible.
14) The elimination of the Department of Education
Very possible.
15) The elimination of the Environmental Protection Agency
Very possible.
16) Reduction or elimination of the National Forest Service and the sale of public lands in the West.
I do not think so. But possible.
17) The cancellation of all climate change regulations and protection of the environment, more oil fracking and pipelines. Possible National Law restricting State’s right to protect their environment.
Very possible except the state part. .
18) Reductions in Social Security benefits and a raised retirement age to 75.
Very possible.
19) Reductions in Medicare and elimination of the prescription drug program.
Very possible.
20) Defense and infrastructure spending to increase as a percentage of the total budget.
Very possible … but he needs ot foind a way to pay for these.
That is just my top 20 of the things they have talked about doing over the past 10 years. There are more.