Sawant’s chances to win depend on a low turnout. If that happens and her highly disciplined cadre turnout she will win. However, the early reults do not look good for the Sawant campaign:
Our mailin ballot system advantages the heavily regimented Sawant vote and it seems likely that a large part of her vote is already in. As of Friday AM, however, only 10,174 of a possible 61,000 ballots have been turned in. Even if one assumes that all of these are votes for her, that is 13% less than Sawants’s total in the primary and suggests that the Sawant campaign is not getting its cadres to vote!
