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One week till Bong Bowl: DENVER WINS

BONG BOWL

Last January Nat Silver gave the Seahawks a 1 in 8 chance of going to the Superbowl  Now they are going .. not ust to the Superbowl burt to the very first Bong Bowl.

This was still is top pick!

Election savant Silver picks Seahawks, Pats Super Bowl | kgw …

Nate Silver, using modern statistical models, is the same guy who correctly predicted 99 out of 100 states total in the last two presidential elections.  TA has been given access to AMAZON’s still secret version of IBM’s Jeopardy Computer, called Hippolyta after the equationqueen of the Amazonians. Hippolyta has taken a “prior” approach to sorts predicting, using data about the sponsoring town and then combining that with a bias free value based on an algorithm (to right) with traditional data such as the number of wins and the wealth of the owner.

Using Hippolyta, TA predicted Seattle’s win over thge49ers within 1 point.  Our method combines a sports based score with a score for the city sponsoring the team.  The combined score predicts who will win,

This year the Raw Nate score, Silver’s score, predicted from past statistics gives the Colts a lead of one TD at 37 to 30.  The data used for the City factor is shown on the table:  Seattle 24 Denver 16.  Correcting for relative role of players vs city, 28 to 22 , adding a point for opening its pots shops first,

Denver wins!

                                                                                        28 t0 22

SEATTLE

DENVER

MUSIC

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**

BLACK FOLKS

*

**

LIBERALS

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**

WEATHER

*

**

BEER

*****

*

FOOD

****

**

SCENERY

*****

*****

 


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