Last January Nat Silver gave the Seahawks a 1 in 8 chance of going to the Superbowl
This was still is top pick!
Election savant Silver picks Seahawks, Pats Super Bowl | kgw …
Nate Silver, using modern statistical models, is the same guy who correctly predicted 99 out of 100 states total in the last two presidential elections.
Of course Mr. Silver would now want to amend his model using data form the actual season. We can offer him some awesome help.
TA has been given access to AMAZON’s still secret version of IBM’s Jeopardy Computer, called Hippolyta after the 
queen of the Amazonians. Hippolyta has taken a “prior” approach to sorts predicting, using data about the sponsoring town and then combining that with a bias free value based on an algorithm (to right) with traditional data such as the number of wins and the wealth of the owner. The prior data requires an objective value for seven variable shown in the table:
SEATTLE |
FRISCO |
|
| MUSIC |
**** |
** |
| BLACK FOLKS |
* |
*** |
| LIBERALS |
**** |
**** |
| WEATHER |
* |
*** |
| BEER |
***** |
** |
| FOOD |
**** |
***** |
| SCENERY |
***** |
* |
Seattle 24 San Fran 20 close but Seattle has the edge,